Alberto Mina vs Joel Alvarez
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-1-0Record23-4-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height6'2"
77,5"Reach77"
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
Kings MMATeamBandog Fight Club
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1730
If they lose-16→ 1698
If they win+16→ 1731
If they lose-16→ 1699
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1573 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1697 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alberto MinaJoel Alvarez
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Joel Alvarez66%
Alberto Mina 34%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Joel Alvarez a 66% favorite over Alberto Mina in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1714 vs 1715), separated by just 1 points.
Alberto Mina finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Joel Alvarez 96%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.