Combat Edge Intelligence

Alberto Montes vs Michael Aswell Jr.

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-1-0Record11-5-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'8"
69"Reach69"
146 lbsWeight145 lbs
MMA MastersTeam4oz. Fight Club

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alberto MontesNow 1629
If they win+24→ 1653
If they lose-24→ 1605
Michael Aswell Jr.Now 1630
If they win+16→ 1646
If they lose-16→ 1614

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1529 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1596 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.26
Sig. strikes / min
7.79
61%
Strike accuracy
43%
4.44
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
7.43
60%
Strike defense
52%
0
Takedown avg.
0.32
TBD
Takedown accuracy
100%
78%
Takedown defense
57%
6.77
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Alberto MontesMichael Aswell Jr.
155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (8%)
KO/TKO
6 (55%)
7 (58%)
Submission
0 (0%)
4 (33%)
Decision
5 (45%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Alberto Montes and Michael Aswell Jr. within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1629 vs 1630), separated by just 1 points.

Alberto Montes enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Michael Aswell Jr. enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Alberto Montes finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Michael Aswell Jr. 55%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.