Combat Edge Intelligence

Alden Coria vs Tim Elliott

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-3-0Record21-14-1
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'7"
67"Reach66"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
4oz. Fight ClubTeamNext Generation Mixed Martial Arts

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alden CoriaNow 1652
If they win+16→ 1668
If they lose-16→ 1636
Tim ElliottNow 1644
If they win+12→ 1656
If they lose-12→ 1632

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1539 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1674 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.69
Sig. strikes / min
3.37
45%
Strike accuracy
45%
2.40
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.65
70%
Strike defense
58%
1.75
Takedown avg.
3.71
33%
Takedown accuracy
48%
71%
Takedown defense
59%
0
Submission avg.
1.12

Trajectory

Alden CoriaTim Elliott
155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (42%)
KO/TKO
3 (14%)
4 (33%)
Submission
8 (38%)
3 (25%)
Decision
10 (48%)

Combat Edge model read

Alden Coria60%
Tim Elliott 40%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Alden Coria a 60% favorite over Tim Elliott in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1652 vs 1644), separated by just 8 points.

Alden Coria enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Alden Coria finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Tim Elliott 52%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.