Combat Edge Intelligence

Aleksandr Grozin vs Ismael Bonfim

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

25-7-2Record20-6-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"Height5'9"
-Reach71"
147 lbsWeight155 lbs
Raty TeamTeamCerrado MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Aleksandr GrozinNow 1683
If they win+12→ 1695
If they lose-12→ 1671
Ismael BonfimNow 1681
If they win+16→ 1697
If they lose-16→ 1665

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1581 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1614 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
5.51
TBD
Strike accuracy
54%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.71
TBD
Strike defense
65%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.06
TBD
Takedown accuracy
33%
TBD
Takedown defense
77%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Aleksandr GrozinIsmael Bonfim
17001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (24%)
KO/TKO
9 (45%)
3 (12%)
Submission
4 (20%)
16 (64%)
Decision
7 (35%)

Combat Edge model read

Aleksandr Grozin52%
Ismael Bonfim 48%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Aleksandr Grozin a 52% favorite over Ismael Bonfim in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1683 vs 1681), separated by just 2 points.

Ismael Bonfim enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Aleksandr Grozin finishes 36% of wins inside the distance, Ismael Bonfim 65%.

Aleksandr Grozin and Ismael Bonfim share 1 common opponent: Andrey Augusto.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinDecision (Unanimous) · 2023
Andrey Augusto
WinDecision (Unanimous) · 2022