Aleksandra Savicheva vs Cynthia Calvillo
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-2-0Record10-6-1
StrawweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'4"
66"Reach64"
115 lbsWeight119 lbs
Raty TeamTeamTiger Muay Thai
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1609
If they lose-24→ 1561
If they win+16→ 1605
If they lose-16→ 1573
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1498 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1637 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Aleksandra SavichevaCynthia Calvillo
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Aleksandra Savicheva67%
Cynthia Calvillo 33%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Aleksandra Savicheva a 67% favorite over Cynthia Calvillo in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Cynthia Calvillo's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1585 vs 1589), separated by just 4 points.
Aleksandra Savicheva finishes 43% of wins inside the distance, Cynthia Calvillo 50%.
Aleksandra Savicheva carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.