Combat Edge Intelligence

Alex da Silva vs Dakota Hope

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Dakota Hope
us

Dakota Hope

“Huracan”

11-3-0FeatherweightUFC

1662Good

Tale of the tape

24-5-0Record11-3-0
WelterweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'6"
73"Reach67"
159 lbsWeight146 lbs
Astra Fight TeamTeam4oz. Fight Club

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alex da SilvaNow 1663
If they win+16→ 1679
If they lose-16→ 1647
Dakota HopeNow 1662
If they win+16→ 1678
If they lose-16→ 1646

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1571 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1523 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.14
Sig. strikes / min
0
46%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.52
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
57%
Strike defense
TBD
1.97
Takedown avg.
TBD
44%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
77%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.28
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Alex da SilvaDakota Hope
165017002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

14 (58%)
KO/TKO
5 (45%)
8 (33%)
Submission
1 (9%)
2 (8%)
Decision
5 (45%)

Combat Edge model read

Dakota Hope51%
Alex da Silva 49%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Dakota Hope a 51% favorite over Alex da Silva in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Alex da Silva's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1663 vs 1662), separated by just 1 points.

Alex da Silva finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Dakota Hope 55%.

Alex da Silva carries a 6-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.