Combat Edge Intelligence

Alex Reyes vs Mitch Ramirez

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Mitch Ramirez
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Mitch Ramirez

“The Fight Stalker”

8-3-0LightweightUFC

1607Solid

Tale of the tape

13-5-0Record8-3-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'11"
73"Reach71"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Cage Combat AcademyTeamSyndicate MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alex ReyesNow 1607
If they win+16→ 1623
If they lose-16→ 1591
Mitch RamirezNow 1607
If they win+16→ 1623
If they lose-16→ 1591

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1543 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1557 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.46
Sig. strikes / min
3.51
47%
Strike accuracy
44%
6.92
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.98
48%
Strike defense
37%
1.50
Takedown avg.
0.59
29%
Takedown accuracy
0%
0%
Takedown defense
25%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Alex ReyesMitch Ramirez
16001650202320242025

Win method breakdown

9 (69%)
KO/TKO
5 (63%)
4 (31%)
Submission
2 (25%)
0 (0%)
Decision
1 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Mitch Ramirez66%
Alex Reyes 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Mitch Ramirez a 66% favorite over Alex Reyes in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Alex Reyes's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1607 vs 1607), separated by just 0 points.

Alex Reyes enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Mitch Ramirez enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Alex Reyes finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Mitch Ramirez 88%.

Alex Reyes carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.