Combat Edge Intelligence

Alex Schoenauer vs Elias Urbina

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

15-10-0Record5-1-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'3"HeightTBD
TBDReachTBD
185 lbsWeight184 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamTBD

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alex SchoenauerNow 1556
If they win+16→ 1572
If they lose-16→ 1540
Elias UrbinaNow 1561
If they win+24→ 1585
If they lose-24→ 1537

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1609 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1511 · 7 fights

Tracked stat edges

3
Sig. strikes / min
3.85
25%
Strike accuracy
38%
84
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
6.17
43%
Strike defense
51%
0
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
22%
Takedown defense
0%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Alex SchoenauerElias Urbina
1550200720082009201020112012201320142015201620172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

4 (31%)
KO/TKO
2 (40%)
7 (54%)
Submission
2 (40%)
2 (15%)
Decision
1 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Elias Urbina59%
Alex Schoenauer 41%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Elias Urbina a 59% favorite over Alex Schoenauer in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1556 vs 1561), separated by just 5 points.

Alex Schoenauer finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Elias Urbina 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.