Combat Edge Intelligence

Alexander Hernandez vs Nurullo Aliev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

18-9-0Record11-0-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'10"
72"Reach72"
148 lbsWeight155 lbs
Factory XTeamKaizen MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alexander HernandezNow 1716
If they win+12→ 1728
If they lose-12→ 1704
Nurullo AlievNow 1715
If they win+16→ 1731
If they lose-16→ 1699

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1704 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1553 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.31
Sig. strikes / min
2.72
41%
Strike accuracy
45%
4.50
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.63
59%
Strike defense
58%
1.14
Takedown avg.
2.12
36%
Takedown accuracy
19%
73%
Takedown defense
80%
0.09
Submission avg.
0.30

Trajectory

Alexander HernandezNurullo Aliev
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (44%)
KO/TKO
2 (18%)
2 (11%)
Submission
0 (0%)
8 (44%)
Decision
9 (82%)

Combat Edge model read

Nurullo Aliev51%
Alexander Hernandez 49%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Nurullo Aliev a 51% favorite over Alexander Hernandez in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Alexander Hernandez's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1716 vs 1715), separated by just 1 points.

Nurullo Aliev enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Alexander Hernandez finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Nurullo Aliev 18%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.