Combat Edge Intelligence

Alexander Matmuratov vs Charlie Campbell

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

19-8-0Record9-3-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'6"Height6'0"
-Reach72"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Raty TeamTeamLongo-Weidman MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alexander MatmuratovNow 1640
If they win+12→ 1652
If they lose-12→ 1628
Charlie CampbellNow 1640
If they win+16→ 1656
If they lose-16→ 1624

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1566 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1557 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
5.55
TBD
Strike accuracy
54%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.73
TBD
Strike defense
55%
TBD
Takedown avg.
2.95
TBD
Takedown accuracy
40%
TBD
Takedown defense
71%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Alexander MatmuratovCharlie Campbell
16001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (32%)
KO/TKO
6 (67%)
1 (5%)
Submission
0 (0%)
12 (63%)
Decision
3 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Alexander Matmuratov51%
Charlie Campbell 49%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Alexander Matmuratov a 51% favorite over Charlie Campbell in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1640 vs 1640), separated by just 0 points.

Alexander Matmuratov finishes 37% of wins inside the distance, Charlie Campbell 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.