Alexander Matmuratov vs Mark Choinski
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-8-0Record8-1-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'6"Height5'8"
-ReachN/A
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Raty TeamTeamRoufusport
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1652
If they lose-12→ 1628
If they win+24→ 1664
If they lose-24→ 1616
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1566 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1507 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alexander MatmuratovMark Choinski
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alexander Matmuratov56%
Mark Choinski 44%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Alexander Matmuratov a 56% favorite over Mark Choinski in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1640 vs 1640), separated by just 0 points.
Alexander Matmuratov finishes 37% of wins inside the distance, Mark Choinski 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.