Combat Edge Intelligence

Alexander Matmuratov vs Roosevelt Roberts

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

19-8-0Record12-5-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'6"Height6'1"
-Reach73"
155 lbsWeight158 lbs
Raty TeamTeamAdrenaline Martial Arts

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alexander MatmuratovNow 1640
If they win+12→ 1652
If they lose-12→ 1628
Roosevelt RobertsNow 1640
If they win+16→ 1656
If they lose-16→ 1624

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1566 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1639 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.84
TBD
Strike accuracy
44%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.10
TBD
Strike defense
53%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.18
TBD
Takedown accuracy
27%
TBD
Takedown defense
50%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.74

Trajectory

Alexander MatmuratovRoosevelt Roberts
16001650170020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (32%)
KO/TKO
4 (33%)
1 (5%)
Submission
5 (42%)
12 (63%)
Decision
3 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Alexander Matmuratov64%
Roosevelt Roberts 36%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Alexander Matmuratov a 64% favorite over Roosevelt Roberts in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1640 vs 1640), separated by just 0 points.

Roosevelt Roberts enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Alexander Matmuratov finishes 37% of wins inside the distance, Roosevelt Roberts 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.