Combat Edge Intelligence

Alexander Poppeck vs Ion Cutelaba

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ion Cutelaba
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Ion Cutelaba

“The Hulk”

20-12-1Light HeavyweightUFC

1641Solid

Tale of the tape

17-5-0Record20-12-1
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'1"
TBDReach75"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Munich Top TeamTeamTimoshkov Sport Club

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alexander PoppeckNow 1643
If they win+16→ 1659
If they lose-16→ 1627
Ion CutelabaNow 1641
If they win+12→ 1653
If they lose-12→ 1629

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1511 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1678 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.01
Sig. strikes / min
4.13
58%
Strike accuracy
44%
9.81
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.42
33%
Strike defense
46%
0
Takedown avg.
4.02
0%
Takedown accuracy
7%
0%
Takedown defense
76%
0
Submission avg.
0.27

Trajectory

Alexander PoppeckIon Cutelaba
1600165020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

11 (69%)
KO/TKO
13 (65%)
0 (0%)
Submission
4 (20%)
5 (31%)
Decision
3 (15%)

Combat Edge model read

Ion Cutelaba60%
Alexander Poppeck 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ion Cutelaba a 60% favorite over Alexander Poppeck in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Alexander Poppeck's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1643 vs 1641), separated by just 2 points.

Alexander Poppeck finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Ion Cutelaba 85%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.