Combat Edge Intelligence

Alexander Shabliy vs Benoit Saint-Denis

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

25-4-0Record17-3-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'11"
70"Reach73"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Peresvet Fight TeamTeamCYFIT

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alexander ShabliyNow 1788
If they win+12→ 1800
If they lose-12→ 1776
Benoit Saint-DenisNow 1787
If they win+16→ 1803
If they lose-16→ 1771

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1656 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1713 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
5.62
TBD
Strike accuracy
59%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.09
TBD
Strike defense
42%
TBD
Takedown avg.
4.19
TBD
Takedown accuracy
36%
TBD
Takedown defense
72%
TBD
Submission avg.
1.75

Trajectory

Alexander ShabliyBenoit Saint-Denis
170017501800202420252026

Win method breakdown

12 (48%)
KO/TKO
6 (35%)
7 (28%)
Submission
11 (65%)
6 (24%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Alexander Shabliy and Benoit Saint-Denis within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1788 vs 1787), separated by just 1 points.

Benoit Saint-Denis enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Alexander Shabliy finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Benoit Saint-Denis 100%.

Benoit Saint-Denis carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.