Combat Edge Intelligence

Alexander Soldatkin vs Jhonata Diniz

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-4-0Record9-2-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'4"
TBDReach 79"
250 lbsWeight255 lbs
Spitfire Gym BerlinTeamSanta Fe Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alexander SoldatkinNow 1668
If they win+16→ 1684
If they lose-16→ 1652
Jhonata DinizNow 1669
If they win+16→ 1685
If they lose-16→ 1653

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1509 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1595 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.16
Sig. strikes / min
3.89
60%
Strike accuracy
56%
1.35
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.62
26%
Strike defense
57%
1.45
Takedown avg.
0
50%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
50%
Takedown defense
70%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Alexander SoldatkinJhonata Diniz
160016501700202320242025

Win method breakdown

10 (71%)
KO/TKO
7 (78%)
2 (14%)
Submission
0 (0%)
2 (14%)
Decision
2 (22%)

Combat Edge model read

Alexander Soldatkin60%
Jhonata Diniz 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Alexander Soldatkin a 60% favorite over Jhonata Diniz in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jhonata Diniz's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1668 vs 1669), separated by just 1 points.

Alexander Soldatkin finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Jhonata Diniz 78%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.