Combat Edge Intelligence

Alexander Soldatkin vs Rodrigo Nascimento

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-4-0Record11-3-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'4"
TBDReach80"
250 lbsWeight265 lbs
Spitfire Gym BerlinTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alexander SoldatkinNow 1668
If they win+16→ 1684
If they lose-16→ 1652
Rodrigo NascimentoNow 1666
If they win+16→ 1682
If they lose-16→ 1650

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1509 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1653 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.16
Sig. strikes / min
3.71
60%
Strike accuracy
47%
1.35
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.34
26%
Strike defense
45%
1.45
Takedown avg.
1.02
50%
Takedown accuracy
38%
50%
Takedown defense
61%
0
Submission avg.
0.51

Trajectory

Alexander SoldatkinRodrigo Nascimento
16501700202320242025

Win method breakdown

10 (71%)
KO/TKO
2 (18%)
2 (14%)
Submission
6 (55%)
2 (14%)
Decision
3 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

Alexander Soldatkin60%
Rodrigo Nascimento 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Alexander Soldatkin a 60% favorite over Rodrigo Nascimento in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1668 vs 1666), separated by just 2 points.

Alexander Soldatkin finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Rodrigo Nascimento 73%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.