Combat Edge Intelligence

Alexey Shurkevich vs Marco Tulio

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Marco Tulio
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Marco Tulio

“Matuto”

14-3-0MiddleweightUFC

1672Good

Tale of the tape

19-6-0Record14-3-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'1"
73"Reach74"
172 lbsWeight185 lbs
Storm Shlemenko Fight TeamTeamChute Boxe Diego Lima

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alexey ShurkevichNow 1674
If they win+12→ 1686
If they lose-12→ 1662
Marco TulioNow 1672
If they win+16→ 1688
If they lose-16→ 1656

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1535 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1563 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
6.69
TBD
Strike accuracy
59%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.58
TBD
Strike defense
60%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.42
TBD
Takedown accuracy
27%
TBD
Takedown defense
0%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.35

Trajectory

Alexey ShurkevichMarco Tulio
160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

12 (63%)
KO/TKO
10 (71%)
1 (5%)
Submission
1 (7%)
6 (32%)
Decision
3 (21%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Alexey Shurkevich and Marco Tulio within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1674 vs 1672), separated by just 2 points.

Alexey Shurkevich enters on a 6-fight win streak.

Marco Tulio enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Alexey Shurkevich finishes 68% of wins inside the distance, Marco Tulio 79%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.