Combat Edge Intelligence

Alexis Dufresne vs Pannie Kianzad

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

6-3-0Record16-9-0
LightweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'7"
TBDReach 66"
150 lbsWeight135 lbs
Team QuestTeamArte Suave Copenhagen

What's at stake

Pannie Kianzad is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Alexis Dufresne carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Alexis DufresneNow 1567
If they win+25→ 1592
If they lose-23→ 1544
Pannie KianzadNow 1583
If they win+15→ 1598
If they lose-17→ 1566

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1518 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1619 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.33
Sig. strikes / min
4.88
28%
Strike accuracy
49%
3.33
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.09
61%
Strike defense
51%
1.50
Takedown avg.
0.41
50%
Takedown accuracy
33%
50%
Takedown defense
66%
0
Submission avg.
0.10

Trajectory

Alexis DufresnePannie Kianzad
1550160016502015201620172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

3 (50%)
KO/TKO
3 (19%)
3 (50%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
13 (81%)

Combat Edge model read

Alexis Dufresne57%
Pannie Kianzad 43%Elo baseline: 48%

The Combat Edge model makes Alexis Dufresne a 57% favorite over Pannie Kianzad in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Pannie Kianzad's way (48%).

Pannie Kianzad holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1583 to 1567, a 16-point edge.

Pannie Kianzad enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Alexis Dufresne finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Pannie Kianzad 19%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.