Combat Edge Intelligence

Allan Begosso vs Thimna Mhlauli

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

8-3-1Record5-1-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'4"Height5'8"
TBDReach-
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Team Alpha MaleTeamQuanWessels BJJ & MMA Academy

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Allan BegossoNow 1590
If they win+16→ 1606
If they lose-16→ 1574
Thimna MhlauliNow 1588
If they win+24→ 1612
If they lose-24→ 1564

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1512 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1521 · 6 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.80
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
40%
Strike accuracy
TBD
7.73
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
34%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
25%
Takedown defense
TBD
2
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Allan BegossoThimna Mhlauli
155016001650202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (38%)
KO/TKO
2 (40%)
3 (38%)
Submission
1 (20%)
2 (25%)
Decision
2 (40%)

Combat Edge model read

Thimna Mhlauli52%
Allan Begosso 48%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Thimna Mhlauli a 52% favorite over Allan Begosso in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Allan Begosso's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1590 vs 1588), separated by just 2 points.

Allan Begosso finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Thimna Mhlauli 60%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.