Combat Edge Intelligence

Alonzo Menifield vs Bogdan Guskov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

18-6-1Record18-3-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'0"Height6'2"
76"Reach76"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Saekson Muay ThaiTeamGOR MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alonzo MenifieldNow 1730
If they win+12→ 1742
If they lose-12→ 1718
Bogdan GuskovNow 1733
If they win+16→ 1749
If they lose-16→ 1717

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1698 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1592 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.77
Sig. strikes / min
3.87
53%
Strike accuracy
51%
3.81
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.40
51%
Strike defense
50%
0.50
Takedown avg.
0
31%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
78%
Takedown defense
50%
0.20
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Alonzo MenifieldBogdan Guskov
165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

11 (61%)
KO/TKO
15 (83%)
3 (17%)
Submission
3 (17%)
4 (22%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Bogdan Guskov56%
Alonzo Menifield 44%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Bogdan Guskov a 56% favorite over Alonzo Menifield in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1730 vs 1733), separated by just 3 points.

Alonzo Menifield finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Bogdan Guskov 100%.

Alonzo Menifield and Bogdan Guskov share 1 common opponent: Volkan Oezdemir.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossKO · 2025
Volkan Oezdemir
LossSubmission · 2023