Combat Edge Intelligence

Alonzo Menifield vs Phil Davis

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Phil Davis
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Phil Davis

“Mr. Wonderful”

24-7-0Light HeavyweightBFC

1739Good

Tale of the tape

18-6-1Record24-7-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'0"Height6'2"
76"ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Saekson Muay ThaiTeamAlliance MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alonzo MenifieldNow 1730
If they win+12→ 1742
If they lose-12→ 1718
Phil DavisNow 1739
If they win+12→ 1751
If they lose-12→ 1727

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1698 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1665 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.77
Sig. strikes / min
2.87
53%
Strike accuracy
35%
3.81
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.39
51%
Strike defense
72%
0.50
Takedown avg.
2.76
31%
Takedown accuracy
36%
78%
Takedown defense
72%
0.20
Submission avg.
0.53

Trajectory

Alonzo MenifieldPhil Davis
17001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

11 (61%)
KO/TKO
6 (25%)
3 (17%)
Submission
5 (21%)
4 (22%)
Decision
13 (54%)

Combat Edge model read

Alonzo Menifield62%
Phil Davis 38%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Alonzo Menifield a 62% favorite over Phil Davis in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Phil Davis's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1730 vs 1739), separated by just 9 points.

Alonzo Menifield finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Phil Davis 46%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.