Combat Edge Intelligence

Alptekin Ozkilic vs Roybert Echeverria

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

9-5-0Record8-2-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'5"
TBDReachTBD
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Bellmore Kickboxing AcademyTeamThe Goat Shed Academy

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alptekin OzkilicNow 1591
If they win+16→ 1607
If they lose-16→ 1575
Roybert EcheverriaNow 1588
If they win+16→ 1604
If they lose-16→ 1572

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1585 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1511 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.81
Sig. strikes / min
2.95
32%
Strike accuracy
53%
5.72
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.52
59%
Strike defense
57%
4.21
Takedown avg.
0
58%
Takedown accuracy
0%
75%
Takedown defense
71%
0
Submission avg.
2.60

Trajectory

Alptekin OzkilicRoybert Echeverria
160016502014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (22%)
KO/TKO
4 (50%)
1 (11%)
Submission
2 (25%)
6 (67%)
Decision
2 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Roybert Echeverria62%
Alptekin Ozkilic 38%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Roybert Echeverria a 62% favorite over Alptekin Ozkilic in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Alptekin Ozkilic's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1591 vs 1588), separated by just 3 points.

Alptekin Ozkilic enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Roybert Echeverria enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Alptekin Ozkilic finishes 33% of wins inside the distance, Roybert Echeverria 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.