Combat Edge Intelligence

Alvin Hines vs Dan Evensen

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

7-1-0Record11-4-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'3"
74"ReachTBD
260 lbsWeight252 lbs
Jungle Gym MMATeamTBD

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alvin HinesNow 1630
If they win+24→ 1654
If they lose-24→ 1606
Dan EvensenNow 1627
If they win+16→ 1643
If they lose-16→ 1611

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1514 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1527 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.47
Sig. strikes / min
0.27
32%
Strike accuracy
11%
7.47
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.86
38%
Strike defense
38%
1
Takedown avg.
0
10%
Takedown accuracy
0%
0%
Takedown defense
0%
0
Submission avg.
3.99

Trajectory

Alvin HinesDan Evensen
1550160016502007200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

3 (43%)
KO/TKO
7 (70%)
3 (43%)
Submission
1 (10%)
1 (14%)
Decision
2 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Alvin Hines67%
Dan Evensen 33%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Alvin Hines a 67% favorite over Dan Evensen in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1630 vs 1627), separated by just 3 points.

Dan Evensen enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Alvin Hines finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Dan Evensen 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.