Combat Edge Intelligence

Amanda Lemos vs Joanna Jędrzejczyk

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-6-1Record16-5-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'4"Height5'6"
65"Reach65"
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
Marajo Brothers TeamTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Amanda LemosNow 1684
If they win+16→ 1700
If they lose-16→ 1668
Joanna JędrzejczykNow 1686
If they win+16→ 1702
If they lose-16→ 1670

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1703 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1674 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.75
Sig. strikes / min
6.28
55%
Strike accuracy
48%
3.24
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.25
45%
Strike defense
63%
1.02
Takedown avg.
0.27
63%
Takedown accuracy
63%
64%
Takedown defense
80%
0.72
Submission avg.
0.05

Trajectory

Amanda LemosJoanna Jędrzejczyk
17002020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (53%)
KO/TKO
4 (25%)
3 (20%)
Submission
1 (6%)
4 (27%)
Decision
11 (69%)

Combat Edge model read

Amanda Lemos55%
Joanna Jędrzejczyk 45%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Amanda Lemos a 55% favorite over Joanna Jędrzejczyk in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Joanna Jędrzejczyk's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1684 vs 1686), separated by just 2 points.

Amanda Lemos enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Joanna Jędrzejczyk enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Amanda Lemos finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Joanna Jędrzejczyk 31%.

Amanda Lemos and Joanna Jędrzejczyk share 3 common opponents: Weili Zhang, Michelle Waterson-Gomez and Jéssica Andrade.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (3)

LossDecision - Unanimous · 2023
Weili Zhang
LossKO · 2022
LossDecision (split) · 2020
WinSubmission · 2022
Michelle Waterson-Gomez
WinDecision (unanimous) · 2019
LossSubmission · 2022
Jéssica Andrade
WinDEC · 2017