Combat Edge Intelligence

Andre Fialho vs Gilbert Urbina

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

16-9-0Record7-4-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'3"
74"Reach75"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamBMF Ranch

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Andre FialhoNow 1568
If they win+16→ 1584
If they lose-16→ 1552
Gilbert UrbinaNow 1572
If they win+16→ 1588
If they lose-16→ 1556

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1643 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1571 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.30
Sig. strikes / min
5.57
42%
Strike accuracy
57%
6.26
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.62
46%
Strike defense
45%
0.25
Takedown avg.
2.86
100%
Takedown accuracy
44%
67%
Takedown defense
0%
0
Submission avg.
0.71

Trajectory

Andre FialhoGilbert Urbina
1550160016502022202320242025

Win method breakdown

13 (81%)
KO/TKO
2 (29%)
1 (6%)
Submission
2 (29%)
2 (13%)
Decision
3 (43%)

Combat Edge model read

Gilbert Urbina60%
Andre Fialho 40%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Gilbert Urbina a 60% favorite over Andre Fialho in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1568 vs 1572), separated by just 4 points.

Andre Fialho enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Gilbert Urbina enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Andre Fialho finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Gilbert Urbina 57%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.