Andrea Lee vs Denise Kielholtz
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-11-0Record9-5-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'3"
69"Reach66"
125 lbsWeight124 lbs
Karate MafiaTeamSports Academy Schreiber
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1593
If they lose-16→ 1561
If they win+16→ 1588
If they lose-16→ 1556
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1636 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1516 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Andrea LeeDenise Kielholtz
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Denise Kielholtz60%
Andrea Lee 40%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Denise Kielholtz a 60% favorite over Andrea Lee in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Andrea Lee's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1577 vs 1572), separated by just 5 points.
Andrea Lee enters on a 6-fight loss streak.
Denise Kielholtz enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Andrea Lee finishes 62% of wins inside the distance, Denise Kielholtz 56%.
Andrea Lee carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.