Andrea Lee vs Justine Kish
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-11-0Record9-6-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'5"
69"ReachTBD
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Karate MafiaTeamBlack House
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1593
If they lose-16→ 1561
If they win+16→ 1585
If they lose-16→ 1553
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1636 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1578 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Andrea LeeJustine Kish
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Justine Kish52%
Andrea Lee 48%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Justine Kish a 52% favorite over Andrea Lee in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Andrea Lee's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1577 vs 1569), separated by just 8 points.
Andrea Lee enters on a 6-fight loss streak.
Andrea Lee finishes 62% of wins inside the distance, Justine Kish 22%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.