Combat Edge Intelligence

Andreas Gustafsson vs Jonathan Meunier

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

12-3-0Record9-2-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height6'3"
73"Reach75,0"
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
Vasteras Fight ClubTeamTristar Quebec

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Andreas GustafssonNow 1661
If they win+16→ 1677
If they lose-16→ 1645
Jonathan MeunierNow 1660
If they win+16→ 1676
If they lose-16→ 1644

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1568 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1537 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.82
Sig. strikes / min
3.47
72%
Strike accuracy
51%
3.63
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.43
46%
Strike defense
70%
6.19
Takedown avg.
0.58
59%
Takedown accuracy
33%
100%
Takedown defense
59%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Andreas GustafssonJonathan Meunier
160016502019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

8 (67%)
KO/TKO
5 (56%)
2 (17%)
Submission
2 (22%)
2 (17%)
Decision
2 (22%)

Combat Edge model read

Andreas Gustafsson56%
Jonathan Meunier 44%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Andreas Gustafsson a 56% favorite over Jonathan Meunier in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1661 vs 1660), separated by just 1 points.

Andreas Gustafsson finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Jonathan Meunier 78%.

Jonathan Meunier carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.