Andreas Gustafsson vs Nicholas Musoke
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-3-0Record16-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height6'0"
73"Reach75,0"
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
Vasteras Fight ClubTeamAllstars Training Center
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1677
If they lose-16→ 1645
If they win+16→ 1677
If they lose-16→ 1645
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1568 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1580 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Andreas GustafssonNicholas Musoke
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Andreas Gustafsson56%
Nicholas Musoke 44%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Andreas Gustafsson a 56% favorite over Nicholas Musoke in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1661 vs 1661), separated by just 0 points.
Nicholas Musoke enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Andreas Gustafsson finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Nicholas Musoke 56%.
Nicholas Musoke carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.