Combat Edge Intelligence

Andreas Gustafsson vs Zak Ottow

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Zak Ottow
us

Zak Ottow

“The Barbarian”

20-8-0WelterweightXMMA

1660Good

Tale of the tape

12-3-0Record20-8-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height5'11"
73"Reach40,5"
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
Vasteras Fight ClubTeamPura Vida BJJ

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Andreas GustafssonNow 1661
If they win+16→ 1677
If they lose-16→ 1645
Zak OttowNow 1660
If they win+12→ 1672
If they lose-12→ 1648

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1568 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1619 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.82
Sig. strikes / min
2.63
72%
Strike accuracy
37%
3.63
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.73
46%
Strike defense
59%
6.19
Takedown avg.
0.97
59%
Takedown accuracy
29%
100%
Takedown defense
57%
0
Submission avg.
0.39

Trajectory

Andreas GustafssonZak Ottow
1600165020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

8 (67%)
KO/TKO
3 (15%)
2 (17%)
Submission
12 (60%)
2 (17%)
Decision
5 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Andreas Gustafsson64%
Zak Ottow 36%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Andreas Gustafsson a 64% favorite over Zak Ottow in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1661 vs 1660), separated by just 1 points.

Andreas Gustafsson finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Zak Ottow 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.