Combat Edge Intelligence

Andreas Spang vs Steven Asplund

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

9-3-0Record7-2-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'1"Height6'5"
TBDReach78"
224 lbsWeight261 lbs
J-Sect MMATeamMcCune's Martial Arts

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Andreas SpangNow 1616
If they win+16→ 1632
If they lose-16→ 1600
Steven AsplundNow 1620
If they win+24→ 1644
If they lose-24→ 1596

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1543 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1537 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
19.93
TBD
Strike accuracy
59%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
7.49
TBD
Strike defense
58%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
TBD
Takedown defense
100%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Andreas SpangSteven Asplund
15501600165020132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (33%)
KO/TKO
6 (86%)
3 (33%)
Submission
0 (0%)
3 (33%)
Decision
1 (14%)

Combat Edge model read

Steven Asplund70%
Andreas Spang 30%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Steven Asplund a 70% favorite over Andreas Spang in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1616 vs 1620), separated by just 4 points.

Andreas Spang finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Steven Asplund 86%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.