Combat Edge Intelligence

Andrew Sanchez vs Cezar Ferreira

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-9-0Record14-11-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'1"Height6'1"
76"ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight216 lbs
Tristar GymTeamMMA Masters

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Andrew SanchezNow 1593
If they win+16→ 1609
If they lose-16→ 1577
Cezar FerreiraNow 1591
If they win+12→ 1603
If they lose-12→ 1579

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1657 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1655 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.30
Sig. strikes / min
1.90
44%
Strike accuracy
43%
5.10
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.44
51%
Strike defense
54%
2.55
Takedown avg.
2.69
37%
Takedown accuracy
54%
100%
Takedown defense
85%
0
Submission avg.
0.48

Trajectory

Andrew SanchezCezar Ferreira
160016502022202320242025

Win method breakdown

6 (43%)
KO/TKO
4 (29%)
2 (14%)
Submission
4 (29%)
6 (43%)
Decision
6 (43%)

Combat Edge model read

Andrew Sanchez54%
Cezar Ferreira 46%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Andrew Sanchez a 54% favorite over Cezar Ferreira in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1593 vs 1591), separated by just 2 points.

Andrew Sanchez enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Cezar Ferreira enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Andrew Sanchez finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Cezar Ferreira 57%.

Andrew Sanchez and Cezar Ferreira share 1 common opponent: Marvin Vettori.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossDecision (unanimous) · 2019
Marvin Vettori
LossDecision (unanimous) · 2019