Andrew Stewart vs Garreth McLellan
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
6-2-0Record13-7-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'1"
74"Reach72,0"
186 lbsWeight185 lbs
Nashville MMA Training CampTeamFightFit Militia
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1603
If they lose-24→ 1555
If they win+16→ 1599
If they lose-16→ 1567
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1508 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1573 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Andrew StewartGarreth McLellan
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Andrew Stewart70%
Garreth McLellan 30%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Andrew Stewart a 70% favorite over Garreth McLellan in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Garreth McLellan's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1579 vs 1583), separated by just 4 points.
Garreth McLellan enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Andrew Stewart finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Garreth McLellan 92%.
Andrew Stewart carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.