Combat Edge Intelligence

Angel Alvarez vs Mitch Ramirez

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Mitch Ramirez
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Mitch Ramirez

“The Fight Stalker”

8-3-0LightweightUFC

1607Solid

Tale of the tape

11-2-0Record8-3-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"Height5'11"
69"Reach71"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamSyndicate MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Angel AlvarezNow 1610
If they win+16→ 1626
If they lose-16→ 1594
Mitch RamirezNow 1607
If they win+16→ 1623
If they lose-16→ 1591

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1494 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1557 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.51
TBD
Strike accuracy
44%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.98
TBD
Strike defense
37%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.59
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
TBD
Takedown defense
25%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Angel AlvarezMitch Ramirez
1550160016502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (36%)
KO/TKO
5 (63%)
0 (0%)
Submission
2 (25%)
7 (64%)
Decision
1 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Angel Alvarez60%
Mitch Ramirez 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Angel Alvarez a 60% favorite over Mitch Ramirez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1610 vs 1607), separated by just 3 points.

Angel Alvarez enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Mitch Ramirez enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Angel Alvarez finishes 36% of wins inside the distance, Mitch Ramirez 88%.

Mitch Ramirez carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.