Combat Edge Intelligence

Anthony Hernandez vs Bo Nickal

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

15-3-0Record9-1-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'1"
75"Reach76"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
MMA Gold Fight TeamTeamAmerican Top Team Happy Valley

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Anthony HernandezNow 1738
If they win+16→ 1754
If they lose-16→ 1722
Bo NickalNow 1744
If they win+16→ 1760
If they lose-16→ 1728

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1719 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1633 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.57
Sig. strikes / min
3.35
61%
Strike accuracy
61%
3.10
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.07
51%
Strike defense
60%
5.88
Takedown avg.
3.10
0%
Takedown accuracy
56%
68%
Takedown defense
100%
1.63
Submission avg.
2.48

Trajectory

Anthony HernandezBo Nickal
17001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (20%)
KO/TKO
4 (44%)
9 (60%)
Submission
4 (44%)
3 (20%)
Decision
1 (11%)

Combat Edge model read

Bo Nickal51%
Anthony Hernandez 49%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Bo Nickal a 51% favorite over Anthony Hernandez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1738 vs 1744), separated by just 6 points.

Bo Nickal enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Anthony Hernandez finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Bo Nickal 89%.

Anthony Hernandez and Bo Nickal share 1 common opponent: Rodolfo Vieira.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinSubmission · 2021
Rodolfo Vieira
WinKO · 2025