Combat Edge Intelligence

Antoni Hardonk vs Louie Sutherland

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

8-6-0Record11-5-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'3"
TBDReach76"
240 lbsWeight266 lbs
Dynamix MMATeamGreat Britain Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Antoni HardonkNow 1602
If they win+16→ 1618
If they lose-16→ 1586
Louie SutherlandNow 1605
If they win+16→ 1621
If they lose-16→ 1589

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1569 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1555 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.40
Sig. strikes / min
1.81
61%
Strike accuracy
69%
3.07
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.03
47%
Strike defense
30%
0
Takedown avg.
4.95
0%
Takedown accuracy
43%
40%
Takedown defense
0%
0.88
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Antoni HardonkLouie Sutherland
1550160020072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (75%)
KO/TKO
8 (73%)
2 (25%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
3 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

Louie Sutherland62%
Antoni Hardonk 38%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Louie Sutherland a 62% favorite over Antoni Hardonk in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1602 vs 1605), separated by just 3 points.

Antoni Hardonk finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Louie Sutherland 73%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.