Combat Edge Intelligence

Antonina Shevchenko vs Carli Judice

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

10-4-0Record6-2-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'8"Height5'7"
67"Reach68"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Tiger Muay ThaiTeamHeadkicks MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Antonina ShevchenkoNow 1628
If they win+16→ 1644
If they lose-16→ 1612
Carli JudiceNow 1623
If they win+24→ 1647
If they lose-24→ 1599

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1616 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1545 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.86
Sig. strikes / min
9.32
55%
Strike accuracy
51%
2.93
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
6.62
53%
Strike defense
57%
0.43
Takedown avg.
0.52
43%
Takedown accuracy
25%
54%
Takedown defense
81%
0.43
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Antonina ShevchenkoCarli Judice
1550160016502020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (30%)
KO/TKO
5 (83%)
1 (10%)
Submission
0 (0%)
6 (60%)
Decision
1 (17%)

Combat Edge model read

Carli Judice70%
Antonina Shevchenko 30%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Carli Judice a 70% favorite over Antonina Shevchenko in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Antonina Shevchenko's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1628 vs 1623), separated by just 5 points.

Carli Judice enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Antonina Shevchenko finishes 40% of wins inside the distance, Carli Judice 83%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.