Archie Colgan vs Beneil Dariush
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-0-0Record23-8-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'10"
70"Reach72"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Genesis Training AcademyTeamKings MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1764
If they lose-16→ 1732
If they win+12→ 1757
If they lose-12→ 1733
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1570 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1764 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Archie ColganBeneil Dariush
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Archie Colgan60%
Beneil Dariush 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Archie Colgan a 60% favorite over Beneil Dariush in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1748 vs 1745), separated by just 3 points.
Archie Colgan enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Beneil Dariush enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Archie Colgan finishes 46% of wins inside the distance, Beneil Dariush 57%.
Beneil Dariush carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.