Combat Edge Intelligence

Armen Petrosyan vs Elvis Mutapcic

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

9-5-0Record16-6-1
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'0"
71"Reach42,0"
186 lbsWeight185 lbs
Academy MMATeamRoundKick Gym

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Armen PetrosyanNow 1613
If they win+16→ 1629
If they lose-16→ 1597
Elvis MutapcicNow 1612
If they win+16→ 1628
If they lose-16→ 1596

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1650 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1564 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.95
Sig. strikes / min
3.41
53%
Strike accuracy
41%
3.36
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.27
53%
Strike defense
39%
0.19
Takedown avg.
0
33%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
32%
Takedown defense
81%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Armen PetrosyanElvis Mutapcic
160016502022202320242025

Win method breakdown

6 (67%)
KO/TKO
7 (44%)
0 (0%)
Submission
6 (38%)
3 (33%)
Decision
3 (19%)

Combat Edge model read

Armen Petrosyan54%
Elvis Mutapcic 46%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Armen Petrosyan a 54% favorite over Elvis Mutapcic in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1613 vs 1612), separated by just 1 points.

Armen Petrosyan enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Armen Petrosyan finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Elvis Mutapcic 81%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.