Combat Edge Intelligence

Armen Petrosyan vs Gilbert Smith

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Gilbert Smith
us

Gilbert Smith

“Chocolate Thunder”

13-6-0WelterweightLFA

1612Solid

Tale of the tape

9-5-0Record13-6-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'2"Height5'9"
71"ReachTBD
186 lbsWeight170 lbs
Academy MMATeamTeam Victory

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Armen PetrosyanNow 1613
If they win+16→ 1629
If they lose-16→ 1597
Gilbert SmithNow 1612
If they win+16→ 1628
If they lose-16→ 1596

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1650 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1553 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.95
Sig. strikes / min
1.09
53%
Strike accuracy
41%
3.36
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.73
53%
Strike defense
35%
0.19
Takedown avg.
3.51
33%
Takedown accuracy
60%
32%
Takedown defense
0%
0
Submission avg.
1.17

Trajectory

Armen PetrosyanGilbert Smith
1600165020152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

6 (67%)
KO/TKO
1 (8%)
0 (0%)
Submission
8 (62%)
3 (33%)
Decision
4 (31%)

Combat Edge model read

Armen Petrosyan52%
Gilbert Smith 48%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Armen Petrosyan a 52% favorite over Gilbert Smith in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1613 vs 1612), separated by just 1 points.

Armen Petrosyan enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Armen Petrosyan finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Gilbert Smith 69%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.