Combat Edge Intelligence

Armen Petrosyan vs Joseph Luciano

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

9-5-0Record10-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'1"
71"Reach74"
186 lbsWeight185 lbs
Academy MMATeamAbsolute MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Armen PetrosyanNow 1613
If they win+16→ 1629
If they lose-16→ 1597
Joseph LucianoNow 1612
If they win+16→ 1628
If they lose-16→ 1596

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1650 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1549 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.95
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
53%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.36
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
53%
Strike defense
TBD
0.19
Takedown avg.
TBD
33%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
32%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Armen PetrosyanJoseph Luciano
160016502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (67%)
KO/TKO
1 (10%)
0 (0%)
Submission
6 (60%)
3 (33%)
Decision
3 (30%)

Combat Edge model read

Joseph Luciano60%
Armen Petrosyan 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Joseph Luciano a 60% favorite over Armen Petrosyan in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Armen Petrosyan's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1613 vs 1612), separated by just 1 points.

Armen Petrosyan enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Armen Petrosyan finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Joseph Luciano 70%.

Joseph Luciano carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.