Ateba Gautier vs Joilton Lutterbach
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-1-0Record38-9-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'4"Height6'0"
81"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Manchester Top TeamTeamTeam Peregrino
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1737
If they lose-16→ 1705
If they win+12→ 1731
If they lose-12→ 1707
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1545 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1521 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ateba GautierJoilton Lutterbach
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ateba Gautier66%
Joilton Lutterbach 34%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Ateba Gautier a 66% favorite over Joilton Lutterbach in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1721 vs 1719), separated by just 2 points.
Ateba Gautier enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Joilton Lutterbach enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Ateba Gautier finishes 82% of wins inside the distance, Joilton Lutterbach 71%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.