Attila Korkmaz vs Marcelo Aguiar
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-12-0Record2-3-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'8"Height5'8"
67"ReachTBD
164 lbsWeight168 lbs
IMAGTeamAcademia Boxe
What's at stake
Attila Korkmaz is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Marcelo Aguiar carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1540
If they lose-17→ 1508
If they win+26→ 1528
If they lose-22→ 1480
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1559 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1587 · 6 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Attila KorkmazMarcelo Aguiar
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Attila Korkmaz66%
Marcelo Aguiar 34%Elo baseline: 53%
The Combat Edge model makes Attila Korkmaz a 66% favorite over Marcelo Aguiar in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).
Attila Korkmaz holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1525 to 1502, a 23-point edge.
Attila Korkmaz enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Marcelo Aguiar enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Attila Korkmaz finishes 44% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.