Combat Edge Intelligence

Austin Vanderford vs Kaik Brito

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Kaik Brito
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Kaik Brito

17-5-0WelterweightBlack Thai Team

1693Good

Tale of the tape

13-3-0Record17-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'11"
74"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
Gracie Barra PortlandTeamBlack Thai Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Austin VanderfordNow 1691
If they win+16→ 1707
If they lose-16→ 1675
Kaik BritoNow 1693
If they win+16→ 1709
If they lose-16→ 1677

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1607 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1577 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.04
Sig. strikes / min
2.80
59%
Strike accuracy
38%
2.71
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.87
48%
Strike defense
55%
3.08
Takedown avg.
0
36%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
100%
Takedown defense
56%
1.23
Submission avg.
2

Trajectory

Austin VanderfordKaik Brito
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (38%)
KO/TKO
14 (82%)
3 (23%)
Submission
3 (18%)
5 (38%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Kaik Brito66%
Austin Vanderford 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Kaik Brito a 66% favorite over Austin Vanderford in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1691 vs 1693), separated by just 2 points.

Kaik Brito enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Austin Vanderford finishes 62% of wins inside the distance, Kaik Brito 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.