Combat Edge Intelligence

Azat Maksum vs David Dvořák

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-3-0Record20-6-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'8"Height5'5"
70"Reach68"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Octagon Fight TeamTeamAll Sports Academy

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Azat MaksumNow 1664
If they win+16→ 1680
If they lose-16→ 1648
David DvořákNow 1659
If they win+16→ 1675
If they lose-16→ 1643

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1563 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1592 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.24
Sig. strikes / min
3.48
29%
Strike accuracy
43%
5
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.29
52%
Strike defense
60%
2.33
Takedown avg.
0.58
28%
Takedown accuracy
30%
86%
Takedown defense
70%
0.33
Submission avg.
0.19

Trajectory

Azat MaksumDavid Dvořák
1650170020242025

Win method breakdown

4 (27%)
KO/TKO
8 (40%)
6 (40%)
Submission
8 (40%)
5 (33%)
Decision
4 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Azat Maksum60%
David Dvořák 40%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Azat Maksum a 60% favorite over David Dvořák in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1664 vs 1659), separated by just 5 points.

Azat Maksum enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

David Dvořák enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Azat Maksum finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, David Dvořák 80%.

Azat Maksum carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.