Combat Edge Intelligence

Baisangur Susurkaev vs Dan Henderson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-0-0Record32-15-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'1"
79"Reach74"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamTeam Quest

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Baisangur SusurkaevNow 1743
If they win+16→ 1759
If they lose-16→ 1727
Dan HendersonNow 1740
If they win+12→ 1752
If they lose-12→ 1728

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1543 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1739 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.56
Sig. strikes / min
2.44
59%
Strike accuracy
47%
3.78
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.70
53%
Strike defense
52%
2.76
Takedown avg.
1.52
29%
Takedown accuracy
53%
100%
Takedown defense
58%
0.69
Submission avg.
0.34

Trajectory

Baisangur SusurkaevDan Henderson
1650170017502014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (75%)
KO/TKO
17 (53%)
2 (17%)
Submission
1 (3%)
1 (8%)
Decision
14 (44%)

Combat Edge model read

Baisangur Susurkaev72%
Dan Henderson 28%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Baisangur Susurkaev a 72% favorite over Dan Henderson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1743 vs 1740), separated by just 3 points.

Baisangur Susurkaev enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Baisangur Susurkaev finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Dan Henderson 56%.

Baisangur Susurkaev carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.