Combat Edge Intelligence

Benardo Sopaj vs Long Xiao

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

13-3-0Record27-11-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'8"
66"Reach70"
135 lbsWeight136 lbs
Allstars Training CenterTeamXin-Du Martial Arts Club

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Benardo SopajNow 1676
If they win+16→ 1692
If they lose-16→ 1660
Long XiaoNow 1679
If they win+12→ 1691
If they lose-12→ 1667

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1559 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1597 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.24
Sig. strikes / min
5.25
56%
Strike accuracy
46%
4.88
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.20
50%
Strike defense
50%
2.53
Takedown avg.
0.69
71%
Takedown accuracy
25%
77%
Takedown defense
80%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Benardo SopajLong Xiao
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (54%)
KO/TKO
5 (19%)
4 (31%)
Submission
9 (33%)
2 (15%)
Decision
13 (48%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Benardo Sopaj and Long Xiao within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1676 vs 1679), separated by just 3 points.

Benardo Sopaj enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Long Xiao enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Benardo Sopaj finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Long Xiao 52%.

Long Xiao carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.