Benoit Saint-Denis vs Eddie Alvarez
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-3-0Record30-8-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'9"
73"Reach69,0"
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
CYFITTeamRicardo Almeida Jiu-Jitsu
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1803
If they lose-16→ 1771
If they win+12→ 1808
If they lose-12→ 1784
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1713 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1714 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Benoit Saint-DenisEddie Alvarez
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Benoit Saint-Denis76%
Eddie Alvarez 24%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Benoit Saint-Denis a 76% favorite over Eddie Alvarez in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Eddie Alvarez's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1787 vs 1796), separated by just 9 points.
Benoit Saint-Denis enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Benoit Saint-Denis finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Eddie Alvarez 80%.
Benoit Saint-Denis and Eddie Alvarez share 1 common opponent: Dustin Poirier.
Benoit Saint-Denis carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.