Combat Edge Intelligence

Bilal Hasan vs Lone’er Kavanagh

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

8-0-0Record10-2-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'7"Height5'4"
71"Reach67"
125 lbsWeight126 lbs
Charlie's Combat ClubTeamGreat Britain Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Bilal HasanNow 1669
If they win+24→ 1693
If they lose-24→ 1645
Lone’er KavanaghNow 1671
If they win+16→ 1687
If they lose-16→ 1655

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1497 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1595 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
4.13
TBD
Strike accuracy
49%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.49
TBD
Strike defense
57%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.12
TBD
Takedown accuracy
45%
TBD
Takedown defense
94%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.22

Trajectory

Bilal HasanLone’er Kavanagh
1550160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (75%)
KO/TKO
4 (40%)
1 (13%)
Submission
1 (10%)
1 (13%)
Decision
5 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Lone’er Kavanagh52%
Bilal Hasan 48%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Lone’er Kavanagh a 52% favorite over Bilal Hasan in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1669 vs 1671), separated by just 2 points.

Bilal Hasan enters on a 8-fight win streak.

Bilal Hasan finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Lone’er Kavanagh 50%.

Bilal Hasan carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.