Combat Edge Intelligence

Billy Goff vs Luca Poclit

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

9-3-0Record10-3-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'10"
72,5"Reach73"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Dexter MMATeamSBG Ireland

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Billy GoffNow 1656
If they win+16→ 1672
If they lose-16→ 1640
Luca PoclitNow 1657
If they win+16→ 1673
If they lose-16→ 1641

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1564 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1546 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

8.56
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
46%
Strike accuracy
TBD
5.71
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
59%
Strike defense
TBD
2.01
Takedown avg.
TBD
18%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
100%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Billy GoffLuca Poclit
155016001650170020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (78%)
KO/TKO
1 (10%)
0 (0%)
Submission
6 (60%)
2 (22%)
Decision
3 (30%)

Combat Edge model read

Billy Goff52%
Luca Poclit 48%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Billy Goff a 52% favorite over Luca Poclit in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Luca Poclit's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1656 vs 1657), separated by just 1 points.

Luca Poclit enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Billy Goff finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Luca Poclit 70%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.